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Qual 32025 FIM District West Michigan Event
Red102
920734.6
295934.0
612830.3
Blue81
611428.5
954915.5
592736.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86742040608010012014010281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
80Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#2
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
102Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9207
#21
34.61.2
20.2→21.4
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
blue by 2.2
5927
#15
36.80.3
30.1→30.4
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
Second
2959
#19
34.01.2
32.3→33.5
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3
red by 5.5
6114
#24
28.50.3
20.3→20.6
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
Third
6128
#18
30.31.3
20.1→21.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
red by 14.7
9549
#40
15.50.3
15.1→15.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned