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Red93
524824.8
335745.2
10729.8
Blue147
354646.8
86267.6
547012.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8812505010015020093147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+54
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +33
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
68Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#8
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
93Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#10
45.20.6
32.332.9
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
blue by 22.4
862
#2
67.62.6
57.459.9
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
Second
107
#30
29.81.1
29.030.1
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
blue by 17.0
46.82.6
33.636.2
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
Third
5248
#36
24.80.6
22.022.6
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
red by 12.7
5470
#39
12.14.3
17.421.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned