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Red74
400333.9
654843.0
974222.8
Blue154
508435.8
7437.6
86267.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111188010014074154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+46
Endgame+68
Fouls+80
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +46
12Coral scored#23
43Coral points83
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
57Total teleop103
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
6Foul points18
74Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#22
43.03.1
47.844.8
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
blue by 24.6
862
#2
67.61.1
60.962.0
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
Second
4003
#23
33.93.1
40.237.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.4
End1.1
blue by 3.7
74
#9
37.61.1
28.429.5
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
Third
9742
#12
22.85.1
20.615.5
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
blue by 13.1
35.81.1
23.925.1
Auto4.9
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned