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Red60
924816.3
592736.8
547012.1
Blue88
72039.7
839731.7
14138.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6082020401001206088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
40Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
60Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5927
#15
36.80.1
31.731.6
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
blue by 2.1
141
#13
38.90.8
35.636.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Second
9248
#27
16.30.1
11.511.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 15.4
8397
#20
31.71.4
23.124.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Third
5470
#39
12.10.2
12.812.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 2.4
7203
#37
9.70.8
11.412.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned