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Red139
839731.7
600264.7
974222.8
Blue97
920734.6
963817.0
924816.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13252010015020013997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points67
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
106Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
139Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.71.1
64.865.9
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
red by 30.1
9207
#21
34.61.7
23.525.2
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
8397
#20
31.71.8
24.526.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 14.7
9638
#38
17.01.7
16.718.4
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
9742
#12
22.81.8
15.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
red by 6.5
9248
#27
16.31.7
11.313.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed