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Red121
592736.8
721025.9
7437.6
Blue55
954915.5
547012.1
10729.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97702040608012014012155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#7
67Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
91Total teleop39
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
121Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#9
37.62.2
29.531.8
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
red by 7.8
107
#30
29.81.5
34.933.5
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
Second
5927
#15
36.82.2
31.633.8
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
red by 21.3
9549
#40
15.50.9
15.514.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
7210
#25
25.92.2
20.322.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
red by 13.8
5470
#39
12.11.5
12.611.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed