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Red102
86267.6
400333.9
14138.9
Blue89
609415.6
8541.3
524824.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155705010020010289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
70Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
6Foul points0
102Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
67.63.0
62.059.0
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 26.3
85
#14
41.30.7
36.036.7
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Second
141
#13
38.93.0
36.433.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 14.1
5248
#36
24.80.7
25.225.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
Third
4003
#23
33.93.0
37.234.1
Auto6.4
Teleop26.4
End1.1
red by 18.2
6094
#31
15.60.7
11.812.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed