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Red114
295934.0
205460.6
724818.7
Blue98
525624.2
612830.3
920618.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126745010015020011498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave3
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points13
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
59Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
114Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.1
51.451.4
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
red by 30.3
6128
#18
30.31.2
23.925.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Second
2959
#19
34.00.1
36.136.0
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3
red by 9.7
5256
#35
24.22.1
25.127.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.4
Third
7248
#16
18.70.1
13.413.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2
blue by 0.1
9206
#29
18.82.1
16.718.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed