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Red79
335745.2
954214.8
642810.6
Blue77
561031.1
72039.7
276773.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72124501001507977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +36
9Coral scored#3
31Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
45Total teleop9
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
14Foul points12
79Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#10
45.20.2
38.037.9
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
blue by 28.1
73.32.4
64.762.2
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
Second
9542
#32
14.80.2
13.213.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
blue by 16.2
5610
#17
31.12.4
24.522.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Third
6428
#34
10.60.3
16.115.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 1.0
7203
#37
9.72.4
12.29.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned