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Red57
90417.9
972124.6
10729.8
Blue141
567561.0
920734.6
345828.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7612320406010014016018057141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+72
Endgame+84
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +48
9Coral scored#18
34Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
44Total teleop92
Reef
2L4#7
4L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points0
57Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#30
29.82.0
33.531.5
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
blue by 31.2
61.02.4
49.051.4
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
Second
9721
#26
24.62.0
20.918.9
Auto3.0
Teleop19.2
End2.4
blue by 10.0
9207
#21
34.62.4
25.227.6
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Third
904
#28
17.92.0
14.412.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.2
blue by 10.3
28.22.4
25.628.0
Auto5.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned