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Red113
7437.6
14138.9
611428.5
Blue141
600264.7
592736.8
354646.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8616550100150200250113141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
18Coral scored#18
65Coral points66
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
79Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#7
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
2Foul points4
113Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#13
38.91.7
33.435.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
blue by 25.8
64.70.4
65.965.4
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
Second
74
#9
37.61.7
31.833.5
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
blue by 9.1
46.80.4
44.043.5
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
Third
6114
#24
28.51.7
20.522.1
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
blue by 8.4
5927
#15
36.80.4
33.833.4
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned