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Red146
525624.2
609415.6
86267.6
Blue55
547012.1
920618.8
963817.0
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12652010015014655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+81Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
107Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#1
7L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
146Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
67.62.1
59.061.0
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 48.8
9206
#29
18.81.2
18.717.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Second
5256
#35
24.23.4
27.130.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.4
red by 7.3
9638
#38
17.00.7
18.417.7
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
6094
#31
15.62.1
12.514.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
red by 3.6
5470
#39
12.11.2
11.19.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed