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Red42
642810.6
954915.5
524824.8
Blue98
205460.6
654843.0
954214.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5313101001502004298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
32Total teleop53
Reef
1L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points6
42Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5248
#36
24.81.1
25.924.8
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
blue by 35.8
60.61.2
51.450.1
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
Second
9549
#40
15.51.1
14.613.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 27.4
6548
#22
43.01.2
42.941.6
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
Third
6428
#34
10.61.9
15.914.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 4.2
9542
#32
14.81.2
13.011.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed