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Red76
72039.7
508435.8
974222.8
Blue101
335745.2
721025.9
400333.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55112010015076101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
58Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points0
76Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.81.4
26.027.4
Auto4.9
Teleop26.8
End4.1
blue by 9.3
3357
#10
45.20.4
37.938.3
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
Second
9742
#12
22.82.3
17.319.6
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
blue by 11.1
4003
#23
33.90.4
34.134.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.4
End1.1
Third
7203
#37
9.71.4
9.811.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 16.2
7210
#25
25.90.4
22.523.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed