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Red103
724818.7
612830.3
571249.1
Blue66
924816.3
561031.1
839731.7
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977102040608012014016010366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +41
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
66Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
8Foul points6
103Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#11
49.11.0
41.142.1
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
red by 17.5
8397
#20
31.70.2
26.326.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Second
6128
#18
30.31.0
25.226.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
blue by 0.8
5610
#17
31.10.1
22.122.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Third
7248
#16
18.71.0
13.314.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2
red by 2.4
9248
#27
16.30.1
13.012.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned