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Red131
791116.3
276773.3
609415.6
Blue109
8541.3
295934.0
7437.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96118406080140160131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
85Total teleop70
Reef
13L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points6
131Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.32.9
62.265.2
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 32.0
85
#14
41.30.2
36.736.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Second
7911
#33
16.34.9
10.315.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 21.3
74
#9
37.60.2
33.533.3
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
Third
6094
#31
15.62.9
14.617.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 18.3
2959
#19
34.00.2
36.035.8
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned