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Red122
524824.8
205460.6
547012.1
Blue156
972124.6
920734.6
86267.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92125406080100140160180200122156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
20Coral scored#23
71Coral points81
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
85Total teleop115
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#9
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points18
122Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.9
50.152.0
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
blue by 7.0
862
#2
67.61.3
61.062.3
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
Second
5248
#36
24.81.9
24.826.7
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
blue by 9.9
9207
#21
34.61.3
27.628.8
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Third
5470
#39
12.12.9
9.912.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 12.6
9721
#26
24.62.0
18.920.9
Auto3.0
Teleop19.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned