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Red100
90417.9
508435.8
611428.5
Blue91
14138.9
642810.6
525624.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6793020408012014016010091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +29
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
77Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points18
100Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.82.5
27.429.9
Auto4.9
Teleop26.8
End4.1
blue by 3.1
141
#13
38.90.4
35.134.6
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Second
6114
#24
28.52.5
22.124.7
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
red by 4.2
5256
#35
24.20.7
30.629.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.4
Third
904
#28
17.93.9
12.416.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.2
red by 7.3
6428
#34
10.60.7
14.013.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned