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Red80
72039.7
920618.8
354646.8
Blue88
571249.1
974222.8
592736.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741110501001508088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
45Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
12Foul points2
80Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.3
43.543.3
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
blue by 2.4
5712
#11
49.10.6
42.141.5
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
Second
9206
#29
18.80.4
17.617.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
blue by 18.0
5927
#15
36.80.6
33.432.8
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
Third
7203
#37
9.70.3
11.210.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 13.1
9742
#12
22.80.9
19.618.7
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed