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Red97
8541.3
724818.7
839731.7
Blue79
295934.0
954915.5
954214.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96720501509779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+10Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
66Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
97Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#14
41.30.9
36.537.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 7.3
2959
#19
34.00.4
35.836.2
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Second
8397
#20
31.71.5
26.127.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 16.1
9549
#40
15.50.4
13.513.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
7248
#16
18.70.9
14.315.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2
red by 3.9
9542
#32
14.80.4
11.812.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed