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Red128
600264.7
400333.9
561031.1
Blue146
963817.0
654843.0
276773.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139142120130150160170128146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +14
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
83Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#5
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
128Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.3
65.465.1
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
blue by 8.6
73.30.6
65.265.8
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
Second
4003
#23
33.90.3
34.634.3
Auto6.4
Teleop26.4
End1.1
blue by 9.1
6548
#22
43.00.6
41.642.3
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
Third
5610
#17
31.10.3
22.021.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
red by 14.1
9638
#38
17.00.6
17.718.3
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned