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Red133
567561.0
571249.1
524824.8
Blue113
612830.3
7437.6
205460.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011850100150200250133113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+30Teleop
+8Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave3
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
73Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
12Foul points0
133Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.1
51.451.5
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
red by 0.5
60.60.1
52.052.1
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
Second
5712
#11
49.10.1
41.541.6
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
red by 11.5
74
#9
37.60.1
33.333.4
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
Third
5248
#36
24.80.1
26.726.8
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
blue by 5.5
6128
#18
30.30.1
26.226.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned