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Red23
642810.6
609415.6
72039.7
Blue78
954214.8
611428.5
920734.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3977020601001201402378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +38
1Coral scored#10
5Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
9Total teleop47
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#2
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
2Foul points6
23Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6094
#31
15.61.4
17.516.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 19.0
9207
#21
34.60.4
28.829.3
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
6428
#34
10.62.1
13.211.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 17.8
6114
#24
28.50.4
24.725.1
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
Third
7203
#37
9.71.4
10.99.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 5.2
9542
#32
14.80.4
12.312.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned