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Qual 592025 FIM District West Michigan Event
Red64
547012.1
525624.2
600264.7
Blue108
791116.3
974222.8
567561.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125975015020064108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
43Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
6Foul points0
64Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#6
64.73.3
65.1→61.8
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
red by 3.7
5675
#3
61.01.4
51.5→52.9
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
Second
5256
#35
24.24.8
29.9→25.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.4
red by 1.4
9742
#12
22.82.0
18.7→20.7
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Third
5470
#39
12.14.8
12.8→8.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 4.3
7911
#33
16.32.0
16.7→18.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned