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Red126
654843.0
14138.9
612830.3
Blue89
10729.8
724818.7
592736.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123895010015020012689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points35
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
94Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
126Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#22
43.00.8
42.343.1
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
red by 6.1
5927
#15
36.80.2
32.832.6
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
Second
141
#13
38.90.8
34.635.5
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 9.1
107
#30
29.80.2
31.231.0
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
Third
6128
#18
30.30.8
26.327.1
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
red by 11.6
7248
#16
18.70.2
15.315.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed