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Red167
592736.8
205460.6
508435.8
Blue110
839731.7
963817.0
335745.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010650150200167110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
24Coral scored#13
88Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
12Processor points18
28Net points28
40Algae points46
128Total teleop92
Reef
13L4#6
6L3#3
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
167Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.62.2
53.856.0
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
red by 15.4
3357
#10
45.20.0
42.742.7
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
Second
5927
#15
36.82.2
31.033.2
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
red by 5.2
8397
#20
31.70.0
28.528.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Third
35.82.2
30.232.4
Auto4.9
Teleop26.8
End4.1
red by 18.9
9638
#38
17.00.0
18.818.8
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed