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Red167
600264.7
654843.0
86267.6
Blue52
954214.8
612830.3
72039.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1923505010015025030016752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+85Teleop
+97Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +75
23Coral scored#9
82Coral points31
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
116Total teleop41
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
18Foul points0
167Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
67.61.3
63.161.8
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 37.3
6128
#18
30.30.1
27.928.0
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Second
64.71.3
63.562.2
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
red by 49.9
9542
#32
14.80.1
14.414.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Third
6548
#22
43.01.3
41.540.2
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
red by 33.3
7203
#37
9.70.1
8.98.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed