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Red124
14138.9
8541.3
972124.6
Blue90
974222.8
10729.8
920734.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116935015020012490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+30Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +12
15Coral scored#12
53Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
12Processor points6
20Net points24
32Algae points30
85Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points2
124Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#14
41.30.5
39.039.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 6.7
9207
#21
34.60.4
30.930.5
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
141
#13
38.90.5
38.338.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 9.1
107
#30
29.80.5
29.629.2
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
Third
9721
#26
24.60.6
22.122.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.2
End2.4
red by 1.8
9742
#12
22.80.5
22.121.6
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed