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Red132
561031.1
567561.0
611428.5
Blue46
721025.9
920618.8
791116.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286305010015020013246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+62Teleop
+80Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +58
19Coral scored#5
68Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
86Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
7L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points0
132Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.01.0
56.257.2
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
red by 35.1
7210
#25
25.91.5
24.122.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
Second
5610
#17
31.11.0
23.924.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
red by 12.3
9206
#29
18.81.7
20.518.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Third
6114
#24
28.51.0
26.327.3
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
red by 12.2
7911
#33
16.31.7
18.016.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed