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Red66
524824.8
295934.0
963817.0
Blue78
7437.6
642810.6
924816.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98680501506678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
56Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
66Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#19
34.01.8
36.034.2
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3
blue by 3.7
74
#9
37.60.4
37.537.8
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
Second
5248
#36
24.81.8
26.624.8
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
red by 8.5
9248
#27
16.30.4
15.916.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
9638
#38
17.01.8
18.817.0
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 6.3
6428
#34
10.60.4
10.210.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned