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Red89
335745.2
345828.2
547012.1
Blue145
612830.3
508435.8
600264.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811415010015020089145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#8
6Processor points18
8Net points32
14Algae points50
69Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
89Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#10
45.20.4
42.743.1
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
blue by 19.5
64.71.3
62.263.5
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
Second
28.20.4
26.727.0
Auto5.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
blue by 7.6
35.81.3
32.433.7
Auto4.9
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Third
5470
#39
12.10.4
11.712.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 18.2
6128
#18
30.31.3
28.029.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned