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Red124
354646.8
839731.7
609415.6
Blue103
654843.0
972124.6
954915.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10384050150124103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+21
Endgame+15
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
63Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#11
3L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
36Foul points0
124Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.1
45.745.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 3.8
6548
#22
43.01.8
40.242.0
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
Second
8397
#20
31.70.1
28.528.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 7.1
9721
#26
24.62.0
22.724.6
Auto3.0
Teleop19.2
End2.4
Third
6094
#31
15.60.1
15.815.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
red by 0.1
9549
#40
15.51.8
13.815.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed