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Red193
86267.6
276773.3
839731.7
Blue129
8541.3
612830.3
654843.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18511450100150200250193129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points23
54Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +26
25Coral scored#17
89Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
113Total teleop87
Reef
15L4#8
8L3#6
9L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
193Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.30.7
70.070.7
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 30.4
6548
#22
43.00.4
42.042.4
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
Second
862
#2
67.60.7
64.364.9
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 26.3
85
#14
41.30.4
40.340.7
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Third
8397
#20
31.70.7
28.429.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 1.4
6128
#18
30.30.4
29.329.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0