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Red83
400333.9
10729.8
974222.8
Blue126
7437.6
14138.9
295934.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9412140608014016018020083126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points33
15Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points43
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
62Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +43
2Foul points6
83Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#23
33.90.1
34.033.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.4
End1.1
blue by 5.0
141
#13
38.90.3
38.238.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Second
107
#30
29.80.1
29.929.8
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
blue by 7.8
74
#9
37.60.3
36.937.1
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
Third
9742
#12
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
blue by 11.2
2959
#19
34.00.3
33.233.5
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3