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Red213
86267.6
276773.3
839731.7
Blue152
335745.2
561031.1
508435.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18711150150200250213152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+63Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +39
23Coral scored#19
84Coral points67
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
30Processor points12
28Net points24
58Algae points36
142Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#12
5L3#5
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
213Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.31.1
70.771.8
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 28.1
3357
#10
45.21.0
43.944.9
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
Second
862
#2
67.61.1
64.966.0
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 31.7
35.81.0
34.635.5
Auto4.9
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Third
8397
#20
31.71.1
29.030.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 0.6
5610
#17
31.11.0
29.830.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6