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Red187
205460.6
721025.9
567561.0
Blue165
600264.7
354646.8
611428.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155150100200250187165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points37
54Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
97Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#6
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points12
187Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.8
57.858.6
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
blue by 3.7
64.70.4
63.864.1
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
Second
60.60.8
57.358.1
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
red by 13.8
46.80.4
45.846.2
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
Third
7210
#25
25.90.8
23.924.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 2.6
6114
#24
28.50.4
27.527.9
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9