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Red174
566062.1
150238.6
170172.1
Blue180
7211B31.5
118962.6
506651.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19515050100250300174180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points34
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +36
17Coral scored#20
61Coral points71
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#8
18Processor points24
12Net points32
30Algae points56
91Total teleop127
Reef
9L4#11
6L3#8
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#39
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points2
174Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.0
72.072.0
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 9.4
1189
#10
62.60.7
62.262.9
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
Second
62.10.0
62.062.0
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 10.3
51.80.7
51.452.0
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
Third
1502
#23
38.60.0
38.538.5
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
red by 7.1
31.51.1
30.731.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4