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Red204
566062.1
150238.6
170172.1
Blue167
7660B16.1
118962.6
506651.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201135050100150250300204167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
25Coral scored#25
89Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
127Total teleop126
Reef
15L4#14
7L3#6
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#40
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
204Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.6
71.472.0
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 9.4
1189
#10
62.60.8
61.462.2
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
Second
62.10.6
61.462.0
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 10.3
51.80.8
50.651.4
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
Third
1502
#23
38.60.6
37.938.5
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
red by 22.4
16.11.3
14.916.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End1.1