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Red195
566062.1
150238.6
170172.1
Blue195
7660B16.1
118962.6
506651.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201135050100150250300195195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +3
28Coral scored#23
100Coral points83
3Processor algae#7
6Net algae#5
18Processor points42
24Net points20
42Algae points62
142Total teleop145
Reef
10L4#10
11L3#9
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
195Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.1
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 9.4
1189
#10
62.6
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
Second
62.1
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 10.3
51.8
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
Third
1502
#23
38.6
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
red by 22.4
16.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End1.1