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Red139
125029.5
931252.2
436242.1
Blue165
7211B31.5
118962.6
506651.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12915350100200250300139165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+28
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
2Processor algae#5
2Net algae#6
12Processor points30
8Net points24
20Algae points54
87Total teleop116
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points0
139Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.3
51.952.2
Auto15.9
Teleop30.1
End6.2
blue by 10.4
1189
#10
62.60.5
60.961.4
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
Second
4362
#21
42.10.3
41.842.1
Auto12.8
Teleop27.9
End1.3
blue by 9.7
51.80.5
50.150.6
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
Third
1250
#24
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto4.2
Teleop23.1
End2.2
blue by 2.0
31.50.9
29.830.7
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4