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Red112
118962.6
721142.4
168436.4
Blue188
924574.6
570823.4
170172.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157202050100250300112188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+54
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +30
3Leave3
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points47
20Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +24
14Coral scored#22
52Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
88Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#11
3L3#10
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
112Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#10
62.63.0
58.655.6
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
blue by 11.9
74.60.2
80.380.5
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End8.6
Second
7211
#22
42.43.0
46.443.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
blue by 29.7
72.10.2
69.669.9
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
Third
1684
#19
36.43.0
41.538.5
Auto7.1
Teleop25.7
End3.6
red by 13.0
5708
#13
23.40.2
23.023.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned