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Red144
301557.4
7196B21.7
125029.5
Blue108
657038.5
7211B31.5
817936.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131156080100120140144108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+44Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +48
26Coral scored#14
94Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
112Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#3
9L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
144Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.42.8
58.060.8
Auto17.7
Teleop32.2
End7.5
red by 19.0
6570
#28
38.50.6
42.843.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End10.3
Second
1250
#24
29.52.8
23.426.2
Auto4.2
Teleop23.1
End2.2
blue by 7.2
8179
#15
36.70.6
33.333.9
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
Third
21.74.7
20.124.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End4.4
blue by 9.8
31.50.9
23.324.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned