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Red136
7660B16.1
436242.1
6633.6
Blue91
150643.0
509011.3
719638.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314505020025030013691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
18Processor points6
28Net points16
46Algae points22
111Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points6
136Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#21
42.12.3
37.740.0
Auto12.8
Teleop27.9
End1.3
blue by 0.9
1506
#11
43.03.2
49.446.2
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
66
#26
33.62.3
32.534.8
Auto6.7
Teleop24.4
End2.5
blue by 4.9
7196
#17
38.53.2
44.341.1
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
Third
16.13.8
7.411.2
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End1.1
red by 4.8
5090
#32
11.33.2
19.115.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsMissed