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Red129
1028510.8
4847.0
721142.4
Blue160
118825.7
54858.0
118962.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121165050100150200250129160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
16Coral scored#23
59Coral points84
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#4
12Processor points30
16Net points16
28Algae points46
87Total teleop130
Reef
8L4#10
3L3#8
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
129Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#9
47.00.5
49.650.1
Auto10.5
Teleop28.9
End7.6
blue by 15.6
1189
#10
62.60.3
58.358.6
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
Second
7211
#22
42.40.5
46.046.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
blue by 15.6
548
#14
58.00.3
56.957.2
Auto7.9
Teleop44.2
End5.8
Third
10.80.5
15.415.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 14.9
25.70.3
29.629.9
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned