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Red94
566062.1
83015.4
301557.4
Blue162
931252.2
24740.6
924574.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531975010025094162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+58
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points40
37Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +52
8Coral scored#20
27Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
41Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#9
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
94Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.13.4
66.563.1
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
blue by 12.5
74.61.3
81.580.3
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End8.6
Second
57.43.4
61.358.0
Auto17.7
Teleop32.2
End7.5
red by 5.2
52.21.3
50.549.2
Auto15.9
Teleop30.1
End6.2
Third
830
#12
15.43.4
16.813.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.7
blue by 25.2
247
#8
40.61.3
49.348.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned