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Red120
817936.7
150643.0
570823.4
Blue76
6633.6
361821.4
766017.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1328905010015020012076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points46
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
98Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
2Foul points0
120Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
43.00.5
49.949.4
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 9.4
66
#26
33.61.4
33.932.5
Auto6.7
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Second
8179
#15
36.70.5
33.833.3
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
red by 15.3
3618
#31
21.41.4
24.422.9
Auto6.1
Teleop14.8
End0.6
Third
5708
#13
23.40.5
23.523.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
red by 5.7
7660
#29
17.71.4
18.016.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed