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Red120
83015.4
931252.2
332246.9
Blue109
766017.7
4847.0
150238.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312480100140160120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#18
52Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
84Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#6
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
120Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.3
49.248.9
Auto15.9
Teleop30.1
End6.2
red by 5.3
48
#9
47.00.6
50.149.5
Auto10.5
Teleop28.9
End7.6
Second
3322
#20
46.90.3
50.149.8
Auto10.4
Teleop30.5
End6.0
red by 8.3
1502
#23
38.60.6
40.039.4
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
Third
830
#12
15.40.3
13.413.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.7
blue by 2.3
7660
#29
17.70.6
16.616.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned