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Red162
924574.6
721142.4
150643.0
Blue75
7211B31.5
118825.7
7196B21.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2067205010015025030016275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+93Teleop
+93Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +75
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points21
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#1
18Processor points12
28Net points4
46Algae points16
112Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#2
7L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points6
162Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.61.3
80.579.2
Auto16.8
Teleop49.2
End8.6
red by 43.1
31.52.4
24.321.9
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4
Second
1506
#11
43.01.3
46.244.9
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End6.5
red by 17.3
25.71.4
29.928.4
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End1.7
Third
7211
#22
42.41.3
43.442.1
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
red by 20.7
21.72.4
24.922.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned