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Red91
509011.3
118962.6
24740.6
Blue130
719638.5
506651.8
817936.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13113640608010012016018020091130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+49
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points47
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
18Processor points18
8Net points24
26Algae points42
64Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
91Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#10
62.61.7
55.653.8
Auto11.4
Teleop42.6
End8.6
red by 10.8
51.80.5
47.147.6
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
Second
247
#8
40.61.7
45.744.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.7
End7.5
red by 2.1
7196
#17
38.50.5
41.141.6
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
Third
5090
#32
11.31.7
15.814.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End0.9
blue by 25.4
8179
#15
36.70.5
33.934.4
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed