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Red110
570823.4
361821.4
566062.1
Blue91
657038.5
150238.6
436242.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11814305010020025011091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points18
34Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
70Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
110Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.3
60.961.1
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 20.0
4362
#21
42.12.1
40.037.8
Auto12.8
Teleop27.9
End1.3
Second
5708
#13
23.40.3
23.223.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End2.5
blue by 15.2
1502
#23
38.62.1
39.437.3
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
Third
3618
#31
21.40.3
21.922.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.8
End0.6
blue by 17.1
6570
#28
38.52.1
43.441.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsMissed